Lisburn Distillery vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
GLE
2 - 1
LIS
63%
21%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
LIS
1 - 2
LIN
17%
23%
60%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
GLE
1 - 0
LIS
76%
16%
9%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
LIS
0 - 1
CRU
23%
26%
51%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
COL
2 - 1
LIS
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
INS
0 - 0
NEW
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
DUN
2 - 1
INS
58%
23%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
INS
0 - 1
GLE
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
GLE
1 - 1
INS
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
INS
1 - 0
CRU
19%
25%
57%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |