Lisburn Distillery vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
16%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
LIS
1 - 0
TOB
75%
17%
8%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2009 |
COL
1 - 1
LIS
35%
25%
39%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
LIS
3 - 1
NEW
58%
23%
18%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
CLI
3 - 0
LIS
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2009 |
LIS
2 - 2
NEW
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
INS
1 - 0
DUN
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
INS
0 - 0
BAL
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
LIN
1 - 0
INS
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
INS
1 - 0
COL
38%
27%
36%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
IFC
3 - 0
INS
14%
20%
66%
|
57 | 11 | 46 | -1 |