Lisburn Distillery vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2005 |
LAR
3 - 1
LIS
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2005 |
LIS
0 - 6
LIN
40%
25%
34%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
BAL
1 - 0
LIS
41%
27%
33%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
LIS
1 - 0
ARD
75%
17%
8%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
LIM
1 - 1
LIS
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2005 |
INS
1 - 2
POR
26%
25%
50%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
COL
2 - 5
INS
66%
19%
14%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
INS
1 - 2
GLE
48%
25%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
NEW
5 - 0
INS
48%
25%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
INS
1 - 3
GLE
28%
26%
46%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |