Lisburn Distillery vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
ARD
0 - 1
LIS
27%
27%
46%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
BAL
2 - 1
LIS
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
LIS
0 - 4
LIN
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
LIS
3 - 2
CRU
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
OMA
2 - 3
LIS
30%
26%
45%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
INS
3 - 0
LOU
53%
24%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
INS
1 - 2
CLI
56%
24%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
COL
2 - 4
INS
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
INS
0 - 1
GLE
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
INS
0 - 1
LIN
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |