Lisburn Distillery vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
GLE
0 - 1
LIS
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
LIS
1 - 1
COL
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
POR
4 - 1
LIS
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2003 |
CRU
1 - 1
LIS
43%
26%
32%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
CLI
1 - 0
LIS
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
INS
1 - 0
GLE
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
ARD
2 - 2
INS
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2003 |
INS
1 - 1
OMA
48%
25%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2003 |
COL
2 - 1
INS
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
POR
3 - 3
INS
71%
17%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |