Lisburn Distillery vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
OMA
0 - 3
LIS
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
LIS
0 - 1
GLE
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2003 |
LIS
0 - 1
ARD
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2002 |
POR
1 - 1
LIS
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2002 |
CLI
0 - 2
LIS
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
INS
2 - 1
CRU
63%
21%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
GLE
0 - 2
INS
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2003 |
INS
2 - 0
LIN
28%
24%
47%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +2 |
| 03 Jan. 2003 |
INS
3 - 1
OMA
35%
25%
41%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2002 |
GLE
6 - 1
INS
72%
17%
10%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |