Lisburn Distillery vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
OMA
3 - 0
LIS
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
COL
1 - 4
LIS
64%
21%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
LIS
1 - 0
ARD
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
POR
3 - 0
LIS
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
LIS
2 - 0
ARC
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
INS
2 - 0
CRU
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
GLE
3 - 1
INS
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
INS
1 - 0
LIN
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2002 |
INS
0 - 0
OMA
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
GLE
4 - 1
INS
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |