Lisburn Distillery vs Harland & Wolff Welders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
13.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
LIS
1 - 1
LIM
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
DUN
1 - 1
LIS
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2005 |
LAR
0 - 0
LIS
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
LIS
2 - 1
GLE
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2005 |
COL
1 - 3
LIS
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Harland & Wolff Welders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
COA
2 - 4
HAR
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
TOB
0 - 2
HAR
41%
24%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2005 |
DON
3 - 0
HAR
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
HAR
1 - 1
ARC
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
HAR
3 - 3
BMF
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |