Lisburn Distillery vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
33.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
COL
2 - 1
LIS
80%
14%
7%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
LIS
2 - 1
DUN
47%
25%
29%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 0
LIS
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
LIM
1 - 3
LIS
52%
22%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LIS
1 - 3
CRU
17%
22%
61%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
GLE
1 - 0
CRU
20%
23%
57%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
GLE
2 - 2
POR
25%
24%
51%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
DON
1 - 1
GLE
34%
24%
41%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
GLE
6 - 1
SYL
80%
13%
7%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
GLE
0 - 1
DUN
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |