Lisburn Distillery vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 0
LIS
47%
25%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 3
LIN
21%
23%
56%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LIS
1 - 2
CLI
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
COL
2 - 3
LIS
68%
18%
13%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
POR
5 - 1
LIS
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
GLE
0 - 1
DON
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
CLI
5 - 3
GLE
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
GLE
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
GLE
1 - 2
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
BAL
3 - 3
GLE
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |