Lisburn Distillery vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
12.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
LIS
0 - 1
LIM
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
LIS
1 - 2
OMA
61%
23%
17%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
BAL
1 - 4
LIS
39%
26%
34%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
INS
0 - 2
LIS
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
LIS
1 - 1
GLE
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
GLE
1 - 2
ARD
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
LIN
3 - 1
GLE
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
GLE
2 - 1
CRU
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
NEW
4 - 0
GLE
52%
25%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2004 |
GLE
1 - 1
CLI
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |