Lisburn Distillery vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
LIS
0 - 2
POR
18%
22%
59%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
GLE
1 - 3
LIS
75%
17%
9%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
LIS
1 - 3
CLI
18%
23%
59%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
LIS
1 - 2
BAL
46%
23%
31%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
GLE
2 - 3
LIS
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
DUN
3 - 0
NEY
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 2
CRU
15%
22%
64%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
LIN
3 - 0
DUN
74%
18%
8%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
DUN
3 - 1
LAR
63%
20%
18%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2012 |
CLI
2 - 1
DUN
78%
15%
7%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |