Lisburn Distillery vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LIS
0 - 2
DON
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 0
LIS
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
LIS
1 - 3
COL
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
GLE
5 - 2
LIS
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 4
CRU
27%
23%
51%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
DUN
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 0
DUN
72%
19%
10%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
DUN
0 - 5
GLE
25%
25%
50%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
DUN
2 - 2
DON
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
CLI
5 - 0
DUN
61%
21%
19%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |