Lisburn Distillery vs Donegal Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
LAR
1 - 5
LIS
28%
25%
47%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
LIM
0 - 5
LIS
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2006 |
LIS
1 - 0
DUN
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
BAL
0 - 1
LIS
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
LIS
0 - 1
ARC
69%
20%
12%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Donegal Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
DON
0 - 0
DUN
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
BAL
1 - 0
DON
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2006 |
DON
1 - 2
ARC
48%
24%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
POR
2 - 0
DON
79%
14%
7%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
DON
0 - 1
LIN
19%
22%
59%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |