Lisburn Distillery vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
60.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
LIS
0 - 5
BAL
40%
25%
36%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
POR
4 - 2
LIS
74%
17%
10%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 3
LIS
52%
22%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
LIS
0 - 0
NEW
49%
23%
28%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LIS
2 - 3
BAL
38%
25%
38%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CRU
0 - 0
BAL
66%
20%
15%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
COL
3 - 1
CRU
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
RBK
1 - 0
CRU
70%
18%
13%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -2 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
CRU
0 - 3
RBK
29%
24%
47%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
CRU
1 - 4
LIN
51%
22%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -2 |