Lisburn Distillery vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
44.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
LIS
0 - 2
GLE
30%
25%
45%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
LIS
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
LIS
1 - 3
DON
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
DUN
1 - 4
LIS
38%
24%
38%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
LIS
3 - 1
NEW
58%
22%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
CRU
2 - 1
DON
76%
16%
9%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
CRU
2 - 1
NEW
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 2
CRU
35%
24%
41%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
CRU
3 - 2
NEW
70%
17%
13%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2011 |
CRU
1 - 0
GLE
68%
19%
14%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |