Lisburn Distillery vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
45.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
DUN
1 - 2
LIS
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2011 |
BAL
4 - 2
LIS
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
LIS
3 - 1
DON
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 2
BAL
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
GLE
0 - 1
LIS
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 5
CRU
23%
23%
54%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 3
CRU
22%
24%
54%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
CRU
44%
25%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2011 |
CRU
2 - 1
GLE
49%
25%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
CRU
2 - 1
NFC
87%
10%
4%
|
67 | 13 | 54 | 0 |