Lisburn Distillery vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
GLE
1 - 0
LIS
25%
25%
50%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
LIS
1 - 2
INS
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
LIS
1 - 0
TOB
75%
17%
8%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2009 |
COL
1 - 1
LIS
35%
25%
39%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
LIS
3 - 1
NEW
58%
23%
18%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
CRU
0 - 0
BAL
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
LIN
0 - 0
CRU
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 1
CRU
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2009 |
CRU
3 - 3
DUN
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
CRU
2 - 1
COL
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |