Lisburn Distillery vs Armagh City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
RRF
2 - 4
LIS
9%
13%
79%
|
41 | 13 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LIS
2 - 1
PSN
74%
15%
12%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
DOL
2 - 0
LIS
42%
23%
35%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
BAL
4 - 0
LIS
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LIS
0 - 4
QUB
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ARC
1 - 0
DOL
41%
24%
36%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
ARC
4 - 0
PSN
74%
15%
12%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ARC
3 - 1
COA
74%
15%
12%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ARC
1 - 0
RRF
76%
14%
10%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BAN
3 - 2
ARC
33%
23%
45%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |