Lisburn Distillery vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
LOU
3 - 1
LIS
43%
23%
35%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
LIS
2 - 0
KNO
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
LIS
2 - 0
DER
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
BAN
6 - 2
LIS
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
LIS
1 - 3
BAN
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
ARD
1 - 1
BAN
34%
25%
42%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
ARC
1 - 1
ARD
68%
18%
14%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 1
ARD
75%
15%
9%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
ARD
0 - 1
COL
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
DUN
2 - 0
ARD
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |