Lioli vs Sefotha-fotha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
15.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
MAT
0 - 0
LIO
49%
26%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
LIO
1 - 0
MSW
73%
16%
11%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
LCS
1 - 1
LIO
41%
28%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
LIO
0 - 1
KLI
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
BAN
1 - 0
LIO
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sefotha-fotha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
BAN
3 - 0
SEF
73%
15%
12%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
CCX
2 - 0
SEF
66%
18%
16%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
MAT
2 - 0
SEF
60%
23%
18%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
SEF
1 - 1
MSW
57%
22%
22%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
SEF
1 - 1
LFC
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |