Lioli vs Sandawana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
28.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
LDF
1 - 0
LIO
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MFC
2 - 2
LIO
54%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
JOY
0 - 0
LIO
45%
27%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LIO
1 - 2
LMP
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
LCS
2 - 0
LIO
54%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sandawana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
LIN
1 - 3
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
JOY
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LMP
1 - 2
SAN
48%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 4
LCS
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
MFC
52%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |