CAF Champions League 1/16
Global 2-3
Lioli vs Primeiro de Agosto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
75.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
PRI
2 - 0
LIO
85%
12%
4%
|
41 | 67 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
NYE
1 - 0
LIO
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
LIO
1 - 1
LDF
47%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
BAN
2 - 1
LIO
51%
26%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
LCS
0 - 1
LIO
48%
27%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Primeiro de Agosto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
PRI
2 - 0
LIO
85%
12%
4%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
PRI
1 - 0
INT
48%
28%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ASA
3 - 1
PRI
24%
29%
47%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
PRI
1 - 0
ONZ
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
POR
2 - 2
PRI
30%
29%
41%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |