Lioli vs Machokha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 1
LIO
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BAN
3 - 3
LIO
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LIO
1 - 0
LIN
44%
28%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LIO
2 - 0
MFC
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LIO
1 - 1
MAT
40%
28%
33%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Machokha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LMP
0 - 0
MFC
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 1
LFC
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 0
MFC
64%
20%
17%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 1
MFC
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 2
LFC
33%
23%
44%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |