Lioli vs Linare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+85%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
LIO
1 - 1
LDF
47%
27%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
LMP
0 - 1
LIO
48%
27%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
LIO
1 - 1
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
NYE
0 - 2
LIO
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
JOY
0 - 2
LIO
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Linare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
LIN
3 - 0
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
LIN
0 - 0
JOY
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
LIK
1 - 3
LIN
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BAN
2 - 1
LIN
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LIN
0 - 1
QOA
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |