Lioli vs Lesotho Defense Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
MFC
0 - 1
LIO
36%
24%
40%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
LUF
0 - 2
LIO
25%
23%
52%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
BAN
0 - 2
LIO
59%
22%
20%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
LIO
6 - 0
MZA
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 9 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
LIO
3 - 0
LFC
40%
27%
33%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Lesotho Defense Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
LDF
2 - 1
LCS
44%
25%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
LCS
1 - 0
LDF
42%
25%
34%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
LMP
1 - 3
LDF
39%
28%
34%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LDF
1 - 2
MAT
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
LDF
4 - 0
LFC
70%
19%
12%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |