Lioli vs Lesotho Defense Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
LIO
2 - 1
LFC
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
LFC
2 - 0
LIO
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
MAT
2 - 1
LIO
49%
27%
24%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
LIK
1 - 1
LIO
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
LMP
1 - 2
LIO
31%
31%
38%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lesotho Defense Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
LDF
0 - 1
BAN
25%
30%
45%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
LDF
3 - 1
KLI
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
MAT
2 - 0
LDF
56%
26%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
LCS
2 - 1
LDF
48%
29%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
SEF
0 - 0
LDF
32%
27%
40%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |