Lioli vs Lesotho Defense Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+85%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
LMP
0 - 1
LIO
48%
27%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
LIO
1 - 1
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
NYE
0 - 2
LIO
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
JOY
0 - 2
LIO
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
LIO
1 - 0
LIK
50%
27%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lesotho Defense Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
LDF
2 - 0
SAN
49%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
LDF
2 - 0
LIK
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LDF
2 - 2
MAT
51%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BAN
2 - 0
LDF
53%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
LDF
1 - 1
QOA
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |