Lioli vs Bantu United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
31.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
10º
8º
65
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
LIO
0 - 1
LIN
45%
29%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
LIO
0 - 0
LFC
40%
27%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
BAN
0 - 0
LIO
59%
23%
18%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
LIO
1 - 1
LCS
40%
27%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
LFC
1 - 2
LIO
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bantu United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 2
BAN
40%
27%
33%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
NBF
1 - 4
BAN
36%
23%
41%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
BAN
0 - 0
LIO
59%
23%
18%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
LIN
0 - 2
BAN
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BAN
2 - 0
MFC
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |