Lioli vs ACE Maseru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
LDF
1 - 2
LIO
47%
26%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
LIO
0 - 0
MFC
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 1
LIO
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BAN
3 - 3
LIO
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LIO
1 - 0
LIN
44%
28%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
ACE Maseru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 1
ACM
68%
18%
15%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ACM
1 - 2
LMP
31%
26%
43%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 0
ACM
58%
21%
21%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
LUF
2 - 2
ACM
53%
22%
25%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
LFC
0 - 2
ACM
68%
19%
14%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +1 |