Lioli vs ACE Maseru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 1
LIO
36%
27%
37%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
LIO
1 - 0
LDF
43%
28%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
LIO
36%
23%
41%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
MSW
2 - 4
LIO
21%
22%
58%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
LIO
0 - 1
LDF
38%
29%
33%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
ACE Maseru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ACM
1 - 0
CCX
8%
14%
77%
|
7 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ACM
1 - 3
BAN
10%
17%
73%
|
8 | 43 | 35 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ACM
0 - 2
MAT
8%
14%
78%
|
9 | 41 | 32 | -1 |