Linth 04 vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.2%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
82.7%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.3%
0-4
8.6%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11.7%
0-5
4.7%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.1%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linth 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
LIN
2 - 3
FCW
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
FRE
2 - 1
LIN
38%
23%
39%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
LIN
3 - 1
UZW
71%
18%
12%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
WIN
2 - 2
LIN
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
LIN
4 - 3
STG
46%
23%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 2
LUG
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
HBS
3 - 1
LUG
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 2
FCL
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
LUG
0 - 2
HBS
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 4
LUG
26%
25%
49%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |