Linth 04 vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+63%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
5º
15º
5º
55
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
89% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 53 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
53% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 89% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linth 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FCW
2 - 0
LIN
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LIN
1 - 0
FRE
64%
18%
18%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LIN
1 - 2
FCP
34%
25%
42%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FCG
5 - 1
LIN
21%
20%
60%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -3 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LIN
2 - 2
UZW
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 2
HON
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
KRI
2 - 1
LUG
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
SER
0 - 0
LUG
71%
16%
13%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 0
FCW
29%
26%
46%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +3 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LUG
3 - 0
FRE
55%
21%
24%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |