Linhares vs São Mateus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linhares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CAP
2 - 3
LIN
17%
22%
61%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 0
LIN
52%
25%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
LIN
0 - 1
REA
33%
25%
43%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
EST
4 - 1
LIN
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 0
RIO
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
São Mateus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
REA
2 - 1
SAO
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 2
CAP
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 2
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
SAO
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
CAP
0 - 1
SAO
20%
23%
57%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |