Europa Conference League qualifiers Second Round Final
First leg 0-0
Linfield vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
50.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
ZAL
0 - 0
LIN
60%
21%
20%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
LIN
1 - 1
SHE
35%
26%
40%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
SHE
1 - 0
LIN
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
NUF
1 - 7
LIN
6%
11%
83%
|
70 | 21 | 49 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
LIN
0 - 0
DUN
40%
23%
36%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
ZAL
0 - 0
LIN
60%
21%
20%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 0
DTE
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
HAM
2 - 0
ZAL
22%
22%
57%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 0
HAM
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
ZAL
1 - 0
BAN
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |