UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 0-6
Linfield vs Rosenborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
LIN
2 - 4
STJ
67%
20%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
LIN
0 - 3
MHE
64%
20%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
DBU
2 - 0
LIN
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
COL
1 - 1
LIN
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
LIN
5 - 1
CLI
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Rosenborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
RAN
2 - 3
RBK
26%
26%
49%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
RBK
1 - 0
KRI
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
RBK
1 - 1
ELP
68%
20%
13%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
TRO
1 - 0
RBK
20%
25%
55%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2019 |
ULL
1 - 2
RBK
18%
24%
58%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | +1 |