Linfield vs Lurgan Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
WAR
2 - 6
LIN
18%
23%
60%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
LIN
2 - 1
BAL
76%
17%
8%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CLI
0 - 2
LIN
42%
25%
34%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -4 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
LIN
3 - 0
GLE
66%
21%
14%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CLI
0 - 3
LIN
46%
23%
31%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +4 |
Matches
Lurgan Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
LCE
1 - 2
AUN
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LCE
2 - 1
BAN
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
DON
1 - 2
LCE
10%
17%
73%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
POR
2 - 3
LCE
58%
21%
21%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +3 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 2
LCE
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |