Linfield vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
GLE
2 - 3
LIN
22%
23%
56%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
LIN
1 - 2
CLI
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
POR
2 - 4
LIN
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
LIN
1 - 2
CRU
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
GLE
1 - 1
LIN
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
GLE
3 - 0
LIS
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
LIS
0 - 1
GLE
43%
24%
33%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
COL
2 - 1
LIS
80%
14%
7%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
LIS
2 - 1
DUN
47%
25%
29%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 0
LIS
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |