Linfield vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
BAL
2 - 0
LIN
18%
22%
60%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
LIN
1 - 0
COL
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2008 |
LIS
1 - 2
LIN
39%
27%
35%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
BAN
0 - 5
LIN
20%
23%
57%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
LIN
1 - 0
CRU
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
LIS
1 - 2
COL
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
BAN
1 - 0
LIS
27%
25%
49%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
LIS
1 - 2
CRU
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2008 |
LIS
1 - 2
LIN
39%
27%
35%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
GLE
2 - 2
LIS
19%
23%
57%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |