Linfield vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
LIN
1 - 0
BAL
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
ARC
1 - 3
LIN
16%
21%
63%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2007 |
LIN
2 - 0
GLE
83%
12%
6%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
LIN
1 - 0
POR
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
LIN
3 - 0
LIM
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
CRU
1 - 3
LIS
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
LIS
1 - 2
GLE
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
GLE
2 - 3
LIS
24%
25%
51%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
LIS
1 - 0
NEW
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
COL
1 - 4
LIS
34%
25%
41%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |