Linfield vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
LAR
1 - 3
LIN
25%
21%
55%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2006 |
GOR
2 - 2
LIN
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2006 |
LIN
1 - 3
GOR
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
GLE
1 - 2
LIN
42%
23%
35%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
NEW
1 - 1
LIN
31%
26%
44%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
LIS
3 - 0
GLE
66%
21%
14%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2006 |
LOU
0 - 0
LIS
26%
26%
48%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
LIS
3 - 1
LAR
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2006 |
INS
0 - 2
LIS
26%
26%
48%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
LIS
0 - 0
CLI
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |