Linfield vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
LIN
2 - 0
LIM
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
BAL
0 - 2
LIN
31%
25%
43%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
LIN
2 - 0
ARD
77%
16%
8%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
CLI
1 - 1
LIN
21%
24%
55%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2005 |
LIN
4 - 0
DUN
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
LIS
3 - 1
ARC
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
DUN
2 - 2
LIS
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
LIS
1 - 0
POR
44%
26%
31%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
NEW
0 - 3
LIS
33%
28%
40%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2005 |
LIS
6 - 0
LIM
57%
23%
21%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +2 |