Linfield vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1999 |
GLE
1 - 0
LIN
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1999 |
LIN
1 - 1
LOK
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
LIN
3 - 1
COL
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 1999 |
LOK
1 - 0
LIN
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
CRU
3 - 2
LIN
47%
25%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1999 |
LIS
0 - 1
NEW
54%
23%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
LIS
2 - 0
GLE
51%
24%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
BAL
1 - 1
LIS
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
LIS
2 - 1
POR
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1995 |
NEW
0 - 3
LIS
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |