Linfield vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.5%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
4.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
LIN
4 - 0
CAR
77%
16%
7%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
LIN
1 - 1
CLI
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
GLE
0 - 3
LIN
42%
27%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
GLE
0 - 0
LIN
28%
25%
47%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LIN
1 - 1
COL
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
INS
1 - 3
KNO
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
QUB
0 - 1
INS
35%
23%
42%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
INS
2 - 1
ARD
21%
23%
56%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
INS
4 - 3
PSN
58%
21%
22%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
INS
0 - 1
HAR
34%
24%
42%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |