Linfield vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
DUN
1 - 1
LIN
36%
26%
39%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
HJK
1 - 0
LIN
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
LIN
0 - 1
HJK
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
LIN
2 - 1
GLE
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
LAR
0 - 3
LIN
27%
25%
48%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
INS
1 - 1
ARD
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
LIM
2 - 0
INS
37%
25%
38%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2004 |
INS
0 - 4
BAL
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2004 |
CRU
3 - 1
INS
40%
25%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
INS
0 - 0
LIN
36%
26%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |