Linfield vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
CLI
2 - 2
LIN
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
LIN
3 - 1
OMA
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
LIN
3 - 0
NEW
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
GLE
3 - 2
LIN
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
LIS
0 - 2
LIN
34%
27%
38%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
OMA
3 - 2
INS
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
INS
1 - 5
GLE
30%
27%
44%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
INS
1 - 3
COL
27%
25%
49%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
ARD
3 - 0
INS
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
INS
3 - 3
POR
30%
26%
45%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |