UCL Qualifying First round Final
Global 0-2
Linfield vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
LIN
2 - 1
GLE
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
LAR
0 - 3
LIN
27%
25%
48%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2004 |
LIN
5 - 0
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
INS
0 - 0
LIN
36%
26%
39%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
LIN
1 - 0
CRU
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2004 |
ROP
2 - 0
HJK
19%
25%
56%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2004 |
HJK
3 - 2
TPS
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2004 |
HJK
3 - 0
HAM
74%
18%
9%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2004 |
JJK
1 - 5
HJK
14%
22%
65%
|
78 | 41 | 37 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
FCL
1 - 1
HJK
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |