Linfield vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
1º
1º
1º
39
9º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 1
LIN
46%
24%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
LIN
3 - 0
COL
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 1
GLE
47%
23%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
LIN
2 - 1
POR
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
GLE
1 - 0
LIN
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
GLE
3 - 1
CRU
28%
26%
47%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
GLE
3 - 3
COL
25%
24%
51%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
GLE
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 0
GLE
61%
21%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
GLE
0 - 3
GLE
28%
26%
46%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |