Linfield vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
5º
2º
39
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
LIN
0 - 0
CLI
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
POR
0 - 3
LIN
8%
19%
73%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
LIN
3 - 0
AUN
68%
19%
14%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 2
LIN
18%
25%
58%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LIN
2 - 4
LAR
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
GLE
2 - 1
GLE
30%
26%
43%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CLI
2 - 2
GLE
61%
22%
18%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
GLE
3 - 2
BAL
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GLE
4 - 2
CAR
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
LIN
3 - 2
GLE
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |