Linfield vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
LIN
0 - 0
DUN
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2020 |
CLI
1 - 2
LIN
37%
26%
38%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
QUB
2 - 1
LIN
11%
17%
73%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
LIN
3 - 0
INS
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
COL
1 - 1
LIN
41%
26%
34%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
BAL
0 - 3
GLE
45%
23%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
GLE
2 - 2
INS
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
GLE
0 - 2
COL
25%
23%
52%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
CLI
1 - 0
GLE
54%
22%
24%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
GLE
1 - 1
WAR
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |